How much lag should i expect from a server 8300 miles away?

I have a minecraft server in phoenix and i live in Tasmania how much lag should i expect

Good to see another Tasmanian on here!
It all comes down to how powerful your internet connection is (server side and client side). If you are running on a server hosting site, you should expect a little lag, if it's a home network, it would differ according to the internet connection you have. Remember, "Lag" isn't measured in miles or kilometres, it is (dare I say) measured in 'pings' this is the measure of packets dropped. The higher the ping, the more "Lag" you will have.